I became more aware of Europe's annual temperatures will likely increase then the global mean and also as well as the precipitation will increase in the winter and decease in the summer which means the drought conditions are going to increase and with less snow fall in the winter.
This graph is from http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/ch3s3-8-3-6.html#box-3-6 |
The top graph shows the mean temperature in Europe between 1961 and 1990 also it was the warmest winter. The bottom graph show that in 2003 it was the hottest year meaning that Europe went through a heat wave. "The 2003 heat wave was associated with a very robust and persistent blocking high-pressure system that may be a manifestation of an exceptional northward extension of the Hadley Cell" (http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/ch3s3-8-3-6.html#box-3-6)
"Some models say that increased of greenhouse gas concentration may weakening the MOC and reduce the warming"(http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/ch11s11-3-1.html).
With the decrease of snow cover will cause a positive feedback cause a warming in the Mediterranean region, the feedbacks causing drying of the soil in the summer.
Working Groups II
Europe will experience some negative impacts like flash flooding, coastal flooding due to storms and sea level rising. The mountains will have less glaciers and less snow fall means less tourism during the winters. Also with the heat waves Europe will experience more wild fires. health risks with elders less crop growing.
Climate projections for Europe will experience a heat wave, warming winters in Northern Europe, hotter summers in South Western Europe. The precipitation will increase in Northern and decrease in southern parts of Europe. There will be an increase of flooding in the Northern, Central, and Eastern parts. The southern will go through a drought. The mountains will experience less snow fall and " Mountain regions may additionally experience a loss of endemism due to invasive species, similar extreme impacts are expected for habitat and animal diversity as well, making mountains ecosystem among the most threatened in Europe" (http://metrostate.blackboard.com/webct/urw/lc5116011.tp0/cobaltMainFrame.dowebct)
Some of the interesting treats is the sea level rising, causing flooding lost of land this is projected to happen in 2050. With the water risking it will cause some of the people to migrate Also with the heat wave and the years go on parts of Europe will be getting warmer, heat waves will cause more deaths with the citizens in Europe. The impact of rapid change the thermohaline circulation(THC),temperatures slowing in a circulation is an offset by the immediate effects of positive radiative forcing under increasing green house gases, the western part will most effected with rises in the sea level on the coast.
Here are some bullet point that is a threat
- Reductions in runoff and water availability in southern Europe; major increase in snowmelt flooding in western Europe.
- Increased sea-level rise on western European and Mediterranean coasts.
- Reductions in crop production with consequent impacts on food prices.
- Changes in temperature affecting ecosystems in western Europe and the Mediterranean (e.g., affecting biodiversity, forest products and food production).
- Disruption to winter travel opportunities and increased icing of northern ports and seas.
- Changes in regional patterns of increases versus decreases in cold- and heat-related deaths and ill-health.
- Movement of populations to southern Europe and a shift in the centre of economic gravity.
- Requirement to refurbish infrastructure towards Scandinavian standards.
Wow, I researched Asia and their temperature went up, so I expected Europe's climate change would also increase but not by this much. It's surprising on how similar Europe and Asia can be! Like the flash floods, the rise in sea level and temperature!
ReplyDeleteThis is interesting.I think a lot of the countries have a prediction of seal level rising and the temperatures rising, or at least it seems that way. If the sea levels rise it may effect and destroy a lot of things. I did Africa and it is also similar with Europe and Asia in that the temperatures rise and the sea levels are going to rise.
ReplyDeleteThank you for the great info
- Liliya